Poll Data on New Voters Split, Vote Drives, Democrats Future

Bucking conventional wisdom that newly-registered voters would break strongly for the challenger, Jonathan Trichter is perhaps the only pollster who surveyed new voters before the 2004 Presidential election and found that they would split their loyalties almost evenly between the candidates.

Contact
Christopher T. Cory, Director of Public Information, Pace University
212-346-1117, cell 917-608-8164, ccory@pace.edu
OR
SEE PACE POLL BUTTON ON WWW.PACE.EDU

ADVISORY for election weekend analysis

DATA FOR POST-ELECTION ANALYSIS ON WHY NEW VOTERS SPLIT,
PARTISAN GET-OUT-THE-VOTE DRIVES,
DEMOCRATS AND NEW VOTERS

Bucking conventional wisdom that newly-registered voters would break strongly for the challenger, Jonathan Trichter is perhaps the only pollster who surveyed new voters before the 2004 Presidential election and found that they would split their loyalties almost evenly between the candidates.

Recent Trichter conclusions from The Pace Poll/Rock the Vote First-time Voters Survey:

–Generalized voter mobilization efforts may never be able to change the competitive balance between the parties.

–New voters are more comfortable describing themselves as “conservative” than liberal, and more likely than the rest of the country to be “evangelical.” They tend to be pro-life. Yet they have no particular allegiance to the GOP.

–In sum, “The Democratic Party is losing the culture war among new voters, and if new voter trends continue, could be consigned to continued decline.”

Trichter can be reached at 212-346-1141 or cell, 917-370-4810.

Note: Later in November, Pace University will release the final survey in a series of three Pace Poll surveys of new voters, done in cooperation with Rock the Vote.

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