Computerworld: “China set to surpass U.S. in PC purchases”

Seidenberg assistant dean Jonathan Hill and Lubin professor Robert Vambery comment on reports that China is set to surpass the U.S. in PC shipments either this year or the next.

. . . Once China surpasses the U.S. in PC shipments, a market the U.S. created, will it matter at all to the American psyche?

One person who doesn’t think so is Jonathan Hill, assistant dean and director of special programs and projects at Pace University’s Seidenberg School of Computer Science and Information Systems in New York.

Analysts and early tech adopters are much more focused on mobile devices such as tablets and smartphones than on laptops or desktops, said Hill. But if at any point Chinese software makers begin to dominate, “then you would have a significant event for the U.S. psyche,” he said.

Hill doesn’t see a Chinese operating system that can replace Windows at this point, but that’s probably because the emphasis in China has been on mobile. He points to Chinese Web service company Baidu’s interest in developing a mobile OS as one sign of this interest.

Much of U.S. manufacturing of PCs is now done in China. Dell has major operations in the country, as does Hewlett-Packard. IBM sold its PC division to a Chinese company, Lenovo, in 2005.

The shift in manufacturing raises questions about whether the U.S. will continue to lead in the development of hardware and software.

Robert G. Vambery, a professor of marketing and international business at Pace University, sees China being at the forefront of development in the next decade or two.

“Chinese scientists and engineers have been and continue to be trained in the most advanced aspects of the field at U.S. universities as well as research and development centers,” Vambery said. To fill midlevel engineering and production control management needs, China has been training up to five times as many engineers as the U.S. does and continues to do so, he said.

Read the article on Computerworld.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *